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The
Real Poll Numbers
By
DICK MORRISPublished
on DickMorris.com on
August 6, 2012
Printer-Friendly
Version
The media is trying to create a sense of momentum and of
inevitability about the Obama candidacy. One benighted Newsweek reporter even
speculated about a possible Democratic landslide.
On Friday, I saw
the real numbers. These state-by-state polls, taken by an organization I trust
(after forty years of polling) show the real story. The tally is based on more
than 600 likely voter interviews in each swing state within the past eight days.
The trend line is distinctly pro-Romney. Of the thirteen states
studied, he improved or Obama slipped in nine states while the reverse happened
in only four. To read the media, one would think that Romney had a terrible
month. In fact, the exact reverse is true.
Romney is currently leading
in every state McCain carried plus: Indiana, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Nevada,
North Carolina, and Colorado. If he carries these states, he'll have 228
electoral votes of the 270 he needs to win.
To win the election,
Romney would then have to carry Florida where he trails by two points, and
either Virginia (behind by two) or Ohio where he's down by only one.
If he carries all three of these states and also wins all the others where
Obama is now at 50% or less - Iowa, New Mexico, Michigan, Minnesota,
Pennsylvania, and New Jersey -- he will get 351 electoral votes, a landslide
about equal to Obama's 363 vote tally in 2008.
The strong
probability is that Romney does, in fact, carry Florida, Ohio, and Virginia and
a share of the other states where Obama is below 50% of the vote.
So don't believe the garbage being put out by the media. The attempt to
portray Romney as not catching on and as dropping in the polls is ludicrous. It
is, at best, the product of incompetent polling and, at worst, the result of
deliberate media bias. But Romney is winning and expanding his lead each week.
That's the real story.
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About
Dick Morris
Dick
Morris is well known for his insightful and hard-hitting commentary on the
FOXNews channel. With his wife, Eileen McGann, Dick has written 14 books,
including 10 NY Times best-sellers. Together they pen almost daily columns for
their website www.DickMorris.com,
the New York Post, Newsmax, the Hill Magazine and many other publications.
Domestically, Morris has handled the winning campaigns of more than 30 Senators
and Governors, including President Bill Clinton and Republican Senate Majority
Leader Trent Lott. Internationally, he has piloted the successful campaigns of
the president or prime minister of Mexico, Colombia, Argentina, Uruguay, Kenya,
Hungary, Poland, Taiwan, and Japan.
Morris’ and McGann’s latest book is
Screwed!: How
Foreign Countries Are Ripping America Off and Plundering Our Economy-and How Our
Leaders Help Them Do It.
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